Sancheeta Kaushal

Musings of my world

Strong convictions precede great actions.


Notes for Antifragile

Prologue:

  • Wind extinguishes a candle and energizes a fire.
  • Some things benefit from shocks, they thrive and grow when exposed to voltality, randomness, disorder, stressors and love adeventure, risk and uncertainity.
  • Antifragile is beyond resilience or robustness. Resilient resists shocks, antifragile thrives from shocks.
  • Better to be dumb and antifragile than to be smart and fragile
  • Love for certain types of errors
  • NonPrediction:
    • Easier to ask if something is fragile than to predict an event which can harm it
    • Black Swan Problem is an unpredictable event that is beyond what is normally expected of a situation and has potentially severe consequences.
      • Extremely rare, have severe impact, insistence of being obvious in hindsight
    • Detect antifragility through test of assymetry; Anything which has more upside than downside is antifragile; reverse is fragile
  • Deprivation of antifragility:
    • Depriving systems of randomness weekens them and kills them ultimately.
    • Top-down is fragalizing where as bottom up under right amount of strss thrives.
    • Those trying to help are often hurting the most. Eg. Overprotective parents
  • Upside at the expense of others:
    • Ethical rule - Thou shall not have antifragility at the cost of fragility of others
    • Non risk takers with no accountability exert so much control in today’s world
    • Definition of hero has gone a 360 degree change
  • Antidote to Black Swan:
    • Events are retrospectively explainable and hence the illusion of predictabililty